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I think all base counts were reset on Aug. 8, 2011 when the NYSE dropped 21% from its high of 8728.25 on 5/6/2011.
Does anyone agree?
Jerry
Jerry, I am just one year into IBD, but I believe you are correct.
No. You can't just pick one index that fell below 20% and declare a bear market that resets all base counts. To reset the base counts for all stocks, the US Stock Market must be in a bear market. Generally, it is obvious that we are in a bear market - multiple indexes are down and usually by more than just 21%. I would like to see the indexes that lead the bull market be the ones that lead the bear market - that would be the NASDAQ.
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Do to market complexities, market followers will use different definitions of a bear market. So there is some disagreement over when the bear market starts. About the only thing they do agree upon is the 20% value. The disagreement comes into which indexes, how many days from the start of the downtrend, and even the number of days spent below the 20% value. But if it is deep enough it becomes obvious and everbody agrees. Personally, I don't think we have hit that point yet. But, you can beleive whatever you want, I will not disagree with you.
The easiest way is to wait for IBD to announce it in the Big Picture.
Robert
Robert,
I'm not sure if you will ever see this but I am responding to a comment you made re: Scott O'Neil's blog post dated 9/23/11 discussing the breakdown of the last attempted rally and uptrend. You mentioned an interview with WON re: base resets from 2007. How do I find this interview? Thnx. Brad
That wasn't my post. But you can find those interviews on: http://www.tfnn.com/ibd.php .
Brad ..That was my post any other questions? I saw your your post re contacting others on MS--reply there